​[2026.01.22] U.S. Stocks Rally as Tariff Fears Fade, but South Korea Faces GDP Shock

Daily Macro Briefing

Global Market Overview – 2026-01-22

Date of Writing: 2026-01-22
^GSPC ^IXIC ^DJI KRW/USD

Today’s market outlook is shaped by easing global trade tensions and mixed economic indicators. U.S. equities rebounded sharply after President Trump backed off European tariffs and signaled a framework deal over Greenland, providing relief to global markets. However, South Korea’s unexpected GDP contraction highlights ongoing risks in the global economy, especially in Asia. Investors should monitor interest rates, the bond market, and forex market reactions as volatility persists. Strategic allocation in response to these developments is key for effective investment strategy.


1. Key Economic News Summary

  • US stocks rally as tariff fears ease: President Trump’s decision to halt Greenland-related tariffs and pursue a framework deal with NATO allies led to a strong rebound in U.S. equity indexes. (source)
  • South Korea’s economy contracts in Q4: South Korea posted a surprise GDP contraction in the fourth quarter, driven by a construction slump and weaker exports. (source)
  • Market volatility remains elevated: Recent swings in equities and commodities reflect ongoing investor nervousness around tariffs and global growth. (source)
So what

The global economy remains sensitive to policy headlines and economic indicators, with relief rallies in developed markets contrasting with growth concerns in Asia. Investors should remain alert to shifts in interest rates, bond market sentiment, and forex market volatility as part of their investment strategy.


2. Market Impact Analysis

U.S. equities (^GSPC, ^DJI, ^IXIC) surged as trade tensions eased, reflecting renewed risk appetite and optimism over a potential resolution to tariff disputes. However, South Korea’s unexpected GDP contraction signals headwinds for Asian equities and underscores the fragility of export-driven economies. The divergence in regional economic indicators suggests that while U.S. markets may benefit from policy relief, Asian markets could remain under pressure, impacting global portfolio allocations.


3. FX, Interest Rate, and Bond Market Implications

The easing of U.S. tariff threats may support the U.S. dollar in the forex market as risk sentiment improves, while the Korean won (KRW) could face pressure due to weaker economic data. In the bond market, relief in equities could lead to a modest rise in yields as investors rotate out of safe havens, but ongoing concerns about global growth and economic indicators may keep interest rates anchored. Investors should monitor central bank signals and geopolitical developments for further direction on rates and currency trends.


4. Investment Insights (3 Actionable Strategies)

  • Diversify Across Regions Amid Mixed Growth – Balance exposure between U.S. and Asian equities to manage risk from uneven global economic indicators.
  • Monitor Duration as Bond Yields React to News – Adjust bond portfolio duration in response to shifting interest rates and potential volatility in the bond market.
  • Focus on Defensive Sectors for Income Stability – Consider dividend stocks and defensive sectors as a buffer against ongoing market volatility and economic uncertainty. (source)

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.

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